杨多贵,周志田,宋瑶瑶,张公嵬,杨国梁.世界主要国家的国家凝聚力评价研究[J].中国科学院院刊,2016,31(11):1215-1223.

世界主要国家的国家凝聚力评价研究

National Cohesion Theory and Evolutionary Process Analysis

杨多贵
中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院 北京 100190;中国科学院交叉科学中心唐山科学发展研究院 唐山 063000
Yang Duogui
Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China;Tangshan Academy of Scientific Development, the Center for Interdisciplinary Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Tangshan 063000, China
周志田
中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院 北京 100190
Zhou Zhitian
Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China
宋瑶瑶
中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院 北京 100190
Song Yaoyao
Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China
张公嵬
中国科学院交叉科学中心唐山科学发展研究院 唐山 063000
Zhang Gongwei
Tangshan Academy of Scientific Development, the Center for Interdisciplinary Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Tangshan 063000, China
杨国梁
中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院 北京 100190
Yang Guoliang
Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China

         国家凝聚力;指标体系;三阶段模型;定量评估

        national cohesion;index system;three-stage model;quantitative assessment

        文章以构成国家凝聚力的五大支撑要素，即物质、精神、文化、政治、安全为基础，构建了国家凝聚力指标体系。开发了基于三阶段模型的国家凝聚力评价方法，对全球45个样本国家的国家凝聚力状况进行定量评估和分析。对联合国五大常任理事国、金砖5国的国家凝聚力进行了综合比较分析。研究表明，中国国家凝聚力在45个国家中排第14位，处于第一梯队（15个国家）的后列，其比较优势要素是精神凝聚力，比较劣势要素是政治凝聚力

        This study aims to construct an index system of national cohesion which consists of five supporting factors, including material, spirit, culture, politics, and security. The evaluation method to assess the national cohesion based on a three-stage approach for weight determination is developed, and a quantitative analysis on 45 global sample countries is conducted. A comprehensive comparative analysis of the national cohesion is conducted on five permanent members of the United Nations and BRICS countries. Empirical results show that China's national cohesion ranks 14^th, which locates in the behind of the top tier of 15 countries among the 45 sample ones. For China, the spiritual cohesion is the factor with advantages, whereas the political cohesion is the disadvantageous factor.