张博,郭金玲,仲冰,高俊莲,张国生,刘合.全球甲烷控排行动逻辑、议题博弈与中国对策[J].中国科学院院刊,2024,39(12):2037-2047.

全球甲烷控排行动逻辑、议题博弈与中国对策

Action logic and agenda game of global methane emission control and China’s countermeasures

张博¹
厦门大学 管理学院 厦门 361005
ZHANG Bo¹
School of Management, Xiamen University, Xiamen 361005, China
郭金玲²
中国矿业大学(北京) 管理学院 北京 100083
GUO Jinling²
School of Management, China University of Mining and Technology (Beijing), Beijing 100083, China
仲冰²
中国矿业大学(北京) 管理学院 北京 100083
ZHONG Bing²
School of Management, China University of Mining and Technology (Beijing), Beijing 100083, China
高俊莲²
中国矿业大学(北京) 管理学院 北京 100083
GAO Junlian²
School of Management, China University of Mining and Technology (Beijing), Beijing 100083, China
张国生³
中国石油勘探开发研究院 北京 100083
ZHANG Guosheng³
Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration and Development, PetroChina, Beijing 100083, China
刘合^4*
多资源协同陆相页岩油绿色开采全国重点实验室 大庆 163712
LIU He^4*
State Key Laboratory of Continental Shale Oil, Daqing 163712, China

         甲烷|控排|气候谈判|博弈|全球气候治理|中国

        methane|emission control|climate negotiations|game|global climate governance|China

        管控甲烷排放缘起于全球应对气候变化，近年来已演变为国际气候谈判中的焦点议题。当前，全球气候治理议程中的甲烷控排议题基本成型，但从科学共识转向政治共识的过程中，议题内容与博弈焦点持续演化。开展全球性行动需要解决责任分配、国际规则、气候投融资、风险预防等关键问题，并确保有足够的基础能力作为保障。全球甲烷控排行动将对我国产生多方面影响，包括：甲烷排放监测透明化加剧国际减排博弈，要求我国承担减排责任的国际压力持续增强，我国高甲烷排放产品的对外贸易将受到挤压，倒逼我国加快甲烷治理体系与治理能力建设。我国应及时因应国内外形势变化，夯实国内甲烷控排政策与行动基础，提高全球性议题研究与设置能力，加快甲烷减排及资源化利用市场化，提升甲烷控排议题的国际话语权，进而深度参与全球甲烷排放治理。

        Originated from the global response to climate change, methane emission control has evolved into a focus of international climate negotiations in recent years. At present, the agenda for controlling methane emission in global climate governance is basically taking shape, but in the process of shifting from scientific consensus to political consensus, the content of the topic and the focus of the game continue to evolve. To carry out global action, it is necessary to address issues such as the allocation of responsibilities, international rules, climate investment and financing, and risk prevention, as well as the basic capacity guarantees behind them. The global methane emission control action will have a multifaceted impact on China. The transparency of global methane emission monitoring will intensify the emission reduction game of all parties, the international pressure requiring China to assume the responsibility of emission reduction will continue to increase, the foreign trade of China’s high-methane emission products will be restricted, and China will be forced to accelerate the construction of methane governance system and governance capacity. In response to changes in the domestic and international situation, it is necessary to consolidate the foundation of domestic methane emission control policies and actions, improve the ability to research and set global issues, accelerate methane emission reduction and resource utilization marketization, enhance the international discourse on methane emission control issues, and deeply involve in global methane emission control.