李倩倩,刘怡君,马宁,王红兵.基于智库双螺旋法的舆情治理与智库研究[J].中国科学院院刊,2022,37(6):773-782.

基于智库双螺旋法的舆情治理与智库研究

Public Opinion Governance and Think Tank Research Based on Think Tank Double Helix Methodology
作者
李倩倩1,2
中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院 北京 100190;中国科学院大学 公共政策与管理学院 北京 100049
LI Qianqian1,2
Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China;School of Public Policy and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
刘怡君1,2*
中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院 北京 100190;中国科学院大学 公共政策与管理学院 北京 100049
LIU Yijun1,2*
Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China;School of Public Policy and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
马宁1,2
中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院 北京 100190;中国科学院大学 公共政策与管理学院 北京 100049
MA Ning1,2
Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China;School of Public Policy and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
王红兵1,2
中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院 北京 100190;中国科学院大学 公共政策与管理学院 北京 100049
WANG Hongbing1,2
Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China;School of Public Policy and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
中文关键词
         舆情;智库双螺旋法;治理;智库
英文关键词
        public opinion;Think Tank Double Helix Methodology;monitoring;think tank
中文摘要
        舆情治理亟须应对我国经济转轨、社会转型、改革攻坚时期面临的风险关联性挑战、建模复杂性挑战、学科交叉性挑战、社会影响性挑战、情景不确定性挑战等“五大挑战”,是大数据驱动下的典型智库研究。运用智库双螺旋法全过程指导舆情治理与智库研究,立足有效应对五大挑战、服务国家治理需求,深入理解舆情风险与价值之间的关系,促进舆情学术研究理论方法的交叉融合,提升智库研究逻辑架构的科学化、专业化水平,破除从学术研究向智库研究转变的认知壁垒,发挥思维指导、过程指导、操作指导、组织指导作用。
英文摘要
        Public opinion governance research is a typical think tank research driven by big data, which should deal with the "five major challenges" faced by China's economic transformation, social transformation, and reform challenges, namely, risk intertwined challenges, modeling complexity challenges, interdisciplinary challenges, social impact challenges, and scenario uncertainty challenges. The Think Tank Double Helix Methodology provides an effective research paradigm to guide the whole process of public opinion governance and think tank research. Based on this methodology, opinion research could effectively respond to the five significant challenges and serve the demands of national governance. This paper demonstrates a deep understanding of the relationship between the risk and value of the public opinion. It is also explained how to use the Think Tank Double Helix Methodology to promote the interdisciplinary integration of theoretical methods of public opinion academic research, improve the scientific and professional level of the logical framework of think tank research, and break down the cognitive barriers of the transformation from academic research to think tank research. This methodology provides thinking, process, operation, and organizational guidance. Under this guidance, we adhere to the problem-oriented, evidence-oriented, and scientific-oriented to conduct opinion think tank research. We establish a full-chain risk response mechanism, including public opinion collection, judgment, disposal, and response. We improve the risk rating system, including public opinion monitoring, early warning, prevention, and resolution, build a value shaping system including public opinion dissemination, guidance, influence, and credibility. This methodology promotes the research of public opinion think tanks from empirical to scientific research, from discrete to systematic approach, from a single discipline basis to comprehensive and consistent research from pure academic-oriented to integrative studies fitting both academic and practical requirements. These research transitions improve the quality and effectiveness of public opinion governance and think tank research for servicing decision-making.
DOI10.16418/j.issn.1000-3045.20220305001
作者简介
李倩倩中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院副研究员。主要从事风险管理与社会治理、战略传播、舆情计算、网络大数据挖掘与建模等研究。中国发展战略学研究会社会战略专业委员会副秘书长。
E-mail:lqqcindy@casisd.cn
LI Qianqian Associate Researcher of Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS). Her research interests include risk management and social governance, strategic communication, computational opinion model, big data mining and modeling. Dr. Li is the Deputy Secretary-General of Social Strategy Professional Committee of the Chinese Association of Development Strategy Studies.
E-mail:lqqcindy@casisd.cn刘怡君中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院研究员、博士生导师。主要从事风险管理与社会治理、可持续发展等研究。中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院社会治理与风险研究中心主任,中国发展战略学研究会社会战略专业委员会秘书长,全国风险管理标准化技术委员会(SAC/TC310)委员,中国科学院青年创新促进会会员,北京市朝阳区突发事件应急委员会专家等。先后主持 5项国家自然科学基金、中国科学院方向性创新项目、中国科学院创新团队项目等。
E-mail:yijunliu@casisd.cn
LIU Yijun Professor, Doctorial Supervisor of the Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS). Her research interests include risk management and social governance, sustainable development. She is currently the Director of Social Governance and Risk Research Center, Secretary General of Social Strategy Professional Committee of the Chinese Association of Development Strategy Studies, Member of National Risk Management Standardization Technical Committee (SAC/TC310), Member of Youth Innovation Promotion Association of CAS, Expert of Beijing Chaoyang District Emergency Committee, etc. She has presided 5 projects sponsored by National Natural Science Foundation of China, directional innovation project of CAS, and innovation team project of CAS.
E-mail:yijunliu@casisd.cn
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