夏炎,姜青言,杨翠红,汪寿阳.“一带一路”倡议助推沿线国家和地区绿色发展[J].中国科学院院刊,2021,36(6):724-732.
“一带一路”倡议助推沿线国家和地区绿色发展
Belt and Road Initiative Promote Green Development of Countries and Regions along Belt & Road
“一带一路”倡议助推沿线国家和地区绿色发展
Belt and Road Initiative Promote Green Development of Countries and Regions along Belt & Road
作者
夏炎1
中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院 北京 100190
XIA Yan1
Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China
姜青言2,3,4
中国科学院预测科学研究中心 北京 100190;中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院 北京 100190;中国科学院大学 经济与管理学院 北京 100049
JIANG Qingyan2,3,4
Center for Forecasting Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China;Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China;School of Economics and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
杨翠红2,3,4*
中国科学院预测科学研究中心 北京 100190;中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院 北京 100190;1 中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院 北京 100190
YANG Cuihong2,3,4*
Center for Forecasting Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China;Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China;1 Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China
汪寿阳2,3,4
中国科学院预测科学研究中心 北京 100190;中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院 北京 100190;中国科学院大学 经济与管理学院 北京 100049
WANG Shouyang2,3,4
Center for Forecasting Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China;Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China;School of Economics and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院 北京 100190
XIA Yan1
Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China
姜青言2,3,4
中国科学院预测科学研究中心 北京 100190;中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院 北京 100190;中国科学院大学 经济与管理学院 北京 100049
JIANG Qingyan2,3,4
Center for Forecasting Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China;Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China;School of Economics and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
杨翠红2,3,4*
中国科学院预测科学研究中心 北京 100190;中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院 北京 100190;1 中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院 北京 100190
YANG Cuihong2,3,4*
Center for Forecasting Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China;Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China;1 Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China
汪寿阳2,3,4
中国科学院预测科学研究中心 北京 100190;中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院 北京 100190;中国科学院大学 经济与管理学院 北京 100049
WANG Shouyang2,3,4
Center for Forecasting Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China;Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China;School of Economics and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
中文关键词
碳中和;“一带一路”;对外直接投资;气候金融
英文关键词
carbon neutral;Belt and Road Initiative;outward direct investment;climate finance
中文摘要
在新冠肺炎疫情暴发等事件的冲击下，全球市场对于可持续发展理念的认同度大幅提升。“一带一路”沿线国家和地区（以下简称“沿线国家”）面临着共同的生态环境和气候变化的严峻挑战。文章基于双向固定效应面板模型和区域间投入产出模型，提出了中国对外直接投资对沿线国家碳排放影响的测算模型。测算结果显示中国对沿线国家绿色发展发挥了积极减排效应，助推了沿线国家绿色投资，并基于测算结果和中国对外直接投资现状提出了4条政策建议：在重点行业开展低碳技术转型；建立连贯的绿色发展政策；建立多边绿色合作；重点发展气候金融。
英文摘要
With the impact of COVID-19, the global market has greatly enhanced the recognition of sustainable development. Economies along the Belt and Road Initiative (herein after referred as Belt & Road countries and regions) are facing severe challenges of common ecological environment and climate change. Based on the two-way fixed effect panel model and interregional input-output model, this study puts forward a measurement model of the impact of China's outward direct investment on carbon emissions of Belt & Road countries and regions. The results show that China has played a positive role in the green development of Belt & Road countries and regions, leading the green investment of Belt & Road countries and regions. Based on the results and the current situation of China's outward direct investment, four policy suggestions are proposed, namely, carrying out low-carbon technology transformation in crucial industries, establishing a coherent green development policy, developing multilateral green cooperation, and concentrating on the development of climate finance.
DOI10.16418/j.issn.1000-3045.20210310001
作者简介
夏炎 中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院副研究员。主要从事宏观经济分析与预测、能源环境政策、投入产出技术、可计算一般均衡模型等的研究。中国优选法统筹法与经济数学研究会气候金融研究分会(筹)秘书长,中国投入产出学会常务理事。
E-mail:xiayan@casisd.cn
XIA Yan Associate Researcher of Institutes of Science and Development,Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS).Her research interests include macroeconomic analysis and forecasting,energy and environment policy,input output technology and CGE model.Dr.Xia is a member of Chinese Society of Optimization,Overall Planning and Economical Mathematics (SCOPE),the Secretary General of Society of Studies of Climate Finance Branch,SCOPE,as well as the Executive Director of Chinese Input-Output Association.
E-mail:xiayan@casisd.cn
杨翠红 中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院研究员,中国科学院预测科学研究中心研究员,中国科学院大学经济与管理学院岗位教授,中国科学院管理、决策与信息系统重点实验室主任。中国投入产出学会常务副理事长。曾任国际投入产出协会副理事长。主要研究领域:投入产出技术与经济预测、全球价值链与贸易利益研究、宏观经济分析与政策。
E-mail:chyang@iss.ac.cn
YANG Cuihong Professor of Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science,Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS),Center for Forecasting Science,CAS,as well as Professor of School of Economics and Management,University of CAS.She is currently the Director of CAS Key Laboratory of Management,Decision and Information Systems and Executive Vice President of Chinese Input-Output Association.She also served as Vice President of International InputOutput Association (2013-2018).Her main research covers input-output technique and economic forecasting,global value chain,macroeconomy analysis,and policy research.
E-mail:chyang@iss.ac.cn
E-mail:xiayan@casisd.cn
XIA Yan Associate Researcher of Institutes of Science and Development,Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS).Her research interests include macroeconomic analysis and forecasting,energy and environment policy,input output technology and CGE model.Dr.Xia is a member of Chinese Society of Optimization,Overall Planning and Economical Mathematics (SCOPE),the Secretary General of Society of Studies of Climate Finance Branch,SCOPE,as well as the Executive Director of Chinese Input-Output Association.
E-mail:xiayan@casisd.cn
杨翠红 中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院研究员,中国科学院预测科学研究中心研究员,中国科学院大学经济与管理学院岗位教授,中国科学院管理、决策与信息系统重点实验室主任。中国投入产出学会常务副理事长。曾任国际投入产出协会副理事长。主要研究领域:投入产出技术与经济预测、全球价值链与贸易利益研究、宏观经济分析与政策。
E-mail:chyang@iss.ac.cn
YANG Cuihong Professor of Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science,Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS),Center for Forecasting Science,CAS,as well as Professor of School of Economics and Management,University of CAS.She is currently the Director of CAS Key Laboratory of Management,Decision and Information Systems and Executive Vice President of Chinese Input-Output Association.She also served as Vice President of International InputOutput Association (2013-2018).Her main research covers input-output technique and economic forecasting,global value chain,macroeconomy analysis,and policy research.
E-mail:chyang@iss.ac.cn
