王铮,韩钰,胡敏,吴静.面向全球经济治理的世界地缘政治经济结构探析[J].中国科学院院刊,2015,30(6):824-838.

面向全球经济治理的世界地缘政治经济结构探析

An Analysis for the World Geopolitical and Geoeconomical Structure under the Global Economic Governance

王铮
中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所 北京 100190
Wang Zheng
Institute of Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190
韩钰
中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所 北京 100190
Han Yu
Institute of Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190
胡敏
中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所 北京 100190
Hu Min
Institute of Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190
吴静
中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所 北京 100190
Wu Jing
Institute of Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190

         全球治理;区位商;金融业;制造业;资源业;地缘政治经济结构

        global economic governance;location quotient;financial industry;manufacturing industry;resource industry;geopolinomical structure

        面对全球经济治理,文章从克鲁格曼的地理本性出发试图认识全球治理的地缘政治经济基础。作者认为,全球经济关系是地缘政治经济结构的基础。通过收集世界21个主要经济体的2000-2012年的金融业和制造业增加值数据,运用区位商模型分析世界主要国家的金融业与制造业发展区位,同时对各国资源输出情况进行对比,开展对典型国家或地区进行地缘经济基础分类。研究表明：全球一体化使世界典型化国家类型趋于明显,呈现出新的"三个世界"特征——美国、英国、瑞士、新加坡和中国香港属金融业主导国家(地区);泰国、中国、韩国、德国、日本、越南和中国台湾属制造业主导国家(地区);加拿大、俄罗斯、印度尼西亚、马来西亚、澳大利亚和墨西哥属资源开发业主导国家(地区)。印度、巴西和法国目前在多领域均得到发展,虽然属过渡型国家(地区),但在进一步演化中,向一定的国家类型逼近。这种地缘经济学的相互关系,通过GDP溢出分析得到进一步证实。总之,地理本性决定的经济分工分类,构成了全球经济治理的地缘政治经济学基础,将影响全球经济治理。

        Facing the Global Economic Governance, this paper tries to understand the global geopolitical economic base from the Krugman's geographical nature. By collecting the added value of the financial industry and manufacturing in 2000-2012 of the 21 world's major countries or regions, this article attempts to depart from a location quotient model, a quantitative analysis of the development status and concentration of the world's major countries in the financial sector and the manufacturing sector. Furthermore, we compare the output of the resource. At last, we cluster them. Result shows that:globalization makes the countries'type more and more obvious, the world presents new "Three Worlds" features at:USA, UK, Switzerland, Singapore, and Hong Kong(S. A. China), are the obvious financial-leading countries(regions). Thailand, China, South Korea, Germany, Japan, Vietnam, and Chinese Taiwan are the manufacturing-leading countries(regions). Canada, Russia, Indonesia, Malaysia, Australia, and Mexico are the resource development leading countries(regions). Some countries such as India and France, they develop in many areas, they are transitional countries(regions). This classification of economic division will make up their bases in Geopolinomical Structure.