诸大建,刘淑妍.可持续发展的生态限制模型及对中国转型发展的政策意义[J].中国科学院院刊,2014,29(4):416-428.

可持续发展的生态限制模型及对中国转型发展的政策意义

An Embedding Model of Sustainable Development and its Policy Importance for China’s Development Transition

诸大建 刘淑妍
诸大建 刘淑妍

         可持续发展，生态限制原则，包含模型，政策创新

        sustainable development, eco-limit principle, policy reinvention, embedding theory

        可持续发展是我国当前转型发展的重要方向,但是长期以来国内学术界有关公共政 策的讨论很少与可持续发展联系起来,缺少对可持续发展理论模型的深入研究。文章指出对 可持续发展强调的经济、社会、环境3 个方面存在着并列模型、交错模型、生态限制下的包含模 型3 个不同的模型，讨论了不同模型对于中国发展的政策意义。认为作为可持续发展一般原 则的并列模型，虽然强调发展必须考虑经济、社会、环境3 个方面的效益，但是3 个方面的简单 加和，即传统的经济社会发展加上末端治理导向的环境治理，并不能实现真正的可持续发展； 而体现弱可持续性的交错模型，虽然强调提高资源生产率，但是在生产模式和消费方式不改 变的情况下，不可能克服反弹效应问题实现生态文明所要求的减物质化发展。提出需要建立 基于生态限制原则的可持续发展的包含模型，提出了包含模型下的中国可持续发展政策创新 的目标、原则和路径，强调中国未来的转型发展，需要更多地考虑地球自然资本的边界和我国 自然资本的约束条件，从追求物质资本的扩展转向追求人类福利发展。

        Although sustainable development is the important direction of China's economic and social reform, domestic academia on public policy discussions and studies has scarcely related to sustainable development. This article attempts to promote the work by identifying three models about three pillars of sustainable development and their impacts on policy research. The juxtaposed model would not be possible to achieve the target of dematerialization with population growth and consumption growth. The weak sustainability model based on the new classical economics, seeking for ecological efficiency oriented economy growth, but under the prerequisite of not changing in production and consumption patterns, could not solve the rebound effect problem. The article puts forward the ecological constraints model of sustainable development, and explains its policy innovation principle and specific content. The article concludes that China’s sustainable development needs to shift from the pursuit of material capital expansion to the pursuit of human welfare development under the close proximity to earth's natural capital boundaries.