进一步深化碳达峰、碳中和战略转型路径的若干思考

Insights on further deepening carbon peaking and carbon neutrality strategy and pathways

        顾佰和^1,2(中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院 北京 100190;中国科学院大学 公共政策与管理学院 北京 100049)
        于东晖^1,2(中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院 北京 100190;中国科学院大学 公共政策与管理学院 北京 100049)
        王琛³(中国科学院大学 中丹学院 北京 100049)
        王毅^1,2*(中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院 北京 100190;中国科学院大学 公共政策与管理学院 北京 100049)

         碳达峰;碳中和;低碳转型;生态文明;绿色发展

        carbon peaking;carbon neutrality;low carbon transition;ecological civilization;green development

        碳达峰、碳中和目标的实现将带来广泛而深刻的经济社会系统性变革。“双碳”转型路径是一系列目标、技术、资金、政策等综合驱动的系统行动路线图。随着全社会对“双碳”工作认识的不断深化，我国的“双碳”工作面临全面深化落实的系统推进挑战。文章总结了“双碳”目标引领下的低碳转型新成效与双碳“1+N”政策体系，对实现双碳目标的转型需求和面临的挑战进行了分析，并从经济体系、能源体系、国土空间格局、建筑和交通、消费模式、技术创新、金融体系、贸易与供应链、治理体系及国际合作等方面提出了系统推进双碳目标深化落实的若干建议。

        The low carbon transition pathway is a series of goals, technologies, fundings, policies, and other integrated driven system action roadmap. With the deepening of society’s understanding of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality, China’s dual-carbon faces the challenge of systemic advancement of comprehensive deepening implementation. The 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China once again emphasized that achieving the dual-carbon goal will bring about extensive and profound economic and social systemic changes, and pointed out that based on China’s energy endowment, we should adhere to first establishment and then phaseout and implement the carbon peaking actions in a planned and step-by-step manner. China’s low-carbon transition has made a series of new progress, and the planning for carbon peaking and carbon neutrality “1+N” policy framework, which aims to implement the tasks of the dual-carbon target in a comprehensive manner, has been basically completed. At the same time, it is necessary to recognize the long-term and arduous nature of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality, for which the pathway and policies need to be constantly and dynamically adjusted according to the domestic and international situation. The study summarizes the new achievements of lowcarbon transition under the guidance of the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality target and the “1+N” policy framework, and analyzes the transition needs and challenges faced. Finally, it puts forward several suggestions for systematically promoting the deepening implementation of the dual-carbon strategy in terms of economic system, energy system, territorial spatial pattern, building and transportation system, consumption pattern, technological innovation, financial system, trade and supply chain, governance system, and international cooperation.