我国未来产业科技发展战略选择

Strategy choices of science and technology development of China’s industries of future

        陈凯华¹(中国科学院大学 公共政策与管理学院 北京 100049)
        冯卓¹(中国科学院大学 公共政策与管理学院 北京 100049)
        康瑾²(中国工业互联网研究院 北京 100102)
        杨捷^3*(中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院 北京 100190)

         未来产业;科技发展;战略选择

        industries of the future (IOF);science and technology development;strategy choices

        未来产业面向经济社会发展的新需求和新场景，显著依赖于颠覆性前沿科技的突破，迫切需要从未来产业科技发展与管理的需求研究我国未来产业科技发展战略选择。研究发现，未来产业科技发展动力体现在科技要素供给、科技场景培育、科技政策保障3个方面，发展方向取决于新兴与重大前沿科学技术的突破和经济社会发展的重大科技需求。文章对未来产业的科技发展宏观布局、前沿科技攻关、科技创新要素供给和科技创新生态建设4个方面的需求展开研究，总结典型国家未来产业科技发展布局，梳理我国未来产业科技发展现状与挑战；从加强未来产业科技发展的宏观布局、强化未来产业科技发展的场景驱动、扩大未来产业科技发展的要素供给、构建未来产业科技发展的创新生态4个方面提出优化我国未来产业科技发展布局。

        The industries of the future (IOF) that cater to the new demands and scenarios of economic society significantly rely on breakthroughs in disruptive cutting-edge technologies, therefore, it is crucial to study the demands of future industrial technology development and management in order to make strategic choices for technology. This study finds that the science and technology development of IOF impetus is reflected in three aspects: the supply of science and technology factors, the cultivation of science and technology scenarios, and the assurance of science and technology policies. The development direction depends on breakthroughs in emerging and significant frontier of science and technology, as well as the major demands of economic and social development. This study works on the needs of IOF in four aspects: the macro layout of science and technology development, the pursuit of breakthroughs in frontier technologies, the supply of innovation elements for technological innovation, and the construction of an innovation ecosystem for technological innovation. It summarizes the science and technology development strategic layouts of typical countries, and sort out the current situation and challenges of China’s IOF science and technology development of IOF. Based on this, the study proposes optimizing the layout of China’s science and technology development of IOF from four aspects: strengthening the macro layout of science and technology development of IOF, enhancing the scenario-driven approach to science and technology development of IOF, expanding the supply of innovation elements for science and technology development of IOF, and constructing an innovation ecosystem for science and technology development of IOF.