我国猪肉供应风险及对策研究
Risk and Strategy of Pork Supply and Demand in China
Risk and Strategy of Pork Supply and Demand in China
作者
牟笛(中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院 北京 100190;中国科学院大学 北京 100049)
许静斯(中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院 北京 100190;中国科学院大学 北京 100049)
冯佳昊(中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院 北京 100190;中国科学院大学 北京 100049)
陈安(中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院 北京 100190;中国科学院大学 北京 100049)
李雪娇(中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院 北京 100190;中国科学院大学 北京 100049)
许静斯(中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院 北京 100190;中国科学院大学 北京 100049)
冯佳昊(中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院 北京 100190;中国科学院大学 北京 100049)
陈安(中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院 北京 100190;中国科学院大学 北京 100049)
李雪娇(中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院 北京 100190;中国科学院大学 北京 100049)
中文关键词
智库DIIS理论方法;社会风险防控;猪肉供应风险;非洲猪瘟;应急管理
英文关键词
DIIS theory and methodology in think tanks;social risk control;pork supply and demand risk;African swine fever;emergency management
中文摘要
文章采用智库DIIS理论方法，全面调研我国生猪产业发展现状和最近的猪肉价格上涨情况，广泛收集准确可靠的生猪产业数据，进行统计和分析，揭示我国生猪产业发展的问题。此后，走访调研相关部门，综合专家研讨结果，得出应对我国猪肉供应风险的政策建议。研究结果显示，我国猪肉产量下降、价格上涨的社会影响较大，与我国生猪养殖生产效率低、非洲猪瘟疫病横行、养殖业环保压力大、从业体系不完善等问题关系密切。为缓解我国猪肉供需不平衡带来的价格上涨问题，相关部门应加强宏观调控和指导，完善顶层设计，从提升生物安全防护水平、优化地方生猪养殖布局、调整食品消费结构等方面开展工作。
英文摘要
This study adopts the DIIS theory and methodology in think tanks to investigate the status of China's swine industry and the rise of pork price. It collects accurate and reliable data, conducts statistics and analysis, and reveals the problems in the development of swine industry. The relevant departments are interviewed to investigate the risks caused by the imbalance between supply and demand. The results show that the decline of pork production and the rise of pork price in China have a great influence on the society, which is closely related to the low production efficiency of pig breeding in China, the epidemic of African swine fever, the great pressure of environmental protection, and the imperfect working system. In order to alleviate the price rise caused by the imbalance between supply and demand of pork in China, relevant departments should strengthen macroscopical control and guidance, improve the top-level design, and carry out work from the aspects of improving the level of biosafety protection, optimizing the distribution of local pig breeding, and adjusting the structure of food consumption.
DOI10.16418/j.issn.1000-3045.20191123001
作者简介
牟 笛 中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院助理研究员。主要研究领域包括:风险与应急管理,智库理论与方法。
E-mail:mudi@casisd.cn
MU Di Assistant Professor at the Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS). Her current research interests include risk and emergency management, think tank theory and methodology.
E-mail:mudi@casisd.cn
陈 安 中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院研究员、博士生导师。主要研究领域包括:风险与应急管理、智库理论与方法。
E-mail:anchen@casisd.cn
CHEN An Professor at the Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS). His current research interests include risk and emergency management, think tank theory and methodology.
E-mail:anchen@casisd.cn
E-mail:mudi@casisd.cn
MU Di Assistant Professor at the Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS). Her current research interests include risk and emergency management, think tank theory and methodology.
E-mail:mudi@casisd.cn
陈 安 中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院研究员、博士生导师。主要研究领域包括:风险与应急管理、智库理论与方法。
E-mail:anchen@casisd.cn
CHEN An Professor at the Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS). His current research interests include risk and emergency management, think tank theory and methodology.
E-mail:anchen@casisd.cn
