全球变暖背景下青藏高原及周边地区冰川变化的时空格局与趋势及影响
Spatiotemporal Pattern, Trend, and Influence of Glacier Change in Tibetan Plateau and Surroundings under Global Warming
Spatiotemporal Pattern, Trend, and Influence of Glacier Change in Tibetan Plateau and Surroundings under Global Warming
作者
王宁练(中国科学院青藏高原地球科学卓越创新中心 北京 100101;西北大学 城市与环境学院 西安 710127;陕西省地表系统与环境承载力重点实验室 西安 710127)
姚檀栋(中国科学院青藏高原地球科学卓越创新中心 北京 100101;中国科学院青藏高原研究所 北京 100101)
徐柏青(中国科学院青藏高原地球科学卓越创新中心 北京 100101;中国科学院青藏高原研究所 北京 100101)
陈安安(西北大学 城市与环境学院 西安 710127;陕西省地表系统与环境承载力重点实验室 西安 710127)
王伟财(中国科学院青藏高原地球科学卓越创新中心 北京 100101;中国科学院青藏高原研究所 北京 100101)
姚檀栋(中国科学院青藏高原地球科学卓越创新中心 北京 100101;中国科学院青藏高原研究所 北京 100101)
徐柏青(中国科学院青藏高原地球科学卓越创新中心 北京 100101;中国科学院青藏高原研究所 北京 100101)
陈安安(西北大学 城市与环境学院 西安 710127;陕西省地表系统与环境承载力重点实验室 西安 710127)
王伟财(中国科学院青藏高原地球科学卓越创新中心 北京 100101;中国科学院青藏高原研究所 北京 100101)
中文关键词
青藏高原;亚洲水塔;干旱区;冰川融水径流;全球变暖;水资源
英文关键词
Tibetan Plateau and surroundings;Asian Water Tower;arid region;glacier melt runoff;global warming;water resources
中文摘要
作为"亚洲水塔"重要组成部分的冰川，对气候变化的响应极其敏感。研究全球变暖背景下青藏高原及周边地区冰川变化的时空格局特征，有助于识别"亚洲水塔"的主要储水与供水区域，这对水资源的合理规划与利用具有重要意义。文章通过综合分析，揭示出"喀喇昆仑异常"现象在昆仑山西部和帕米尔高原地区亦有不同程度的表现，分布在这些区域以外的青藏高原及周边地区山地冰川近期大多处于加速消融状态；同时，阐明了近50年来以及未来不同气候变化情景下青藏高原及周边地区冰川变化对流域水资源状况和海平面上升的影响；并指出，要系统开展青藏高原及周边地区冰川的调查与观测，建立气候-冰川-水文过程耦合模型，准确评估变化环境下的冰川水资源状况及其影响，以服务于中国社会经济发展和"绿色丝绸之路"建设。
英文摘要
Glaciers, an important part of Asia's water tower, are extremely sensitive to climate change. The study on the spatiotemporal pattern of the changes of the glaciers in the Tibetan Plateau and surroundings in the context of global warming is helpful to identify the main water storage and supply areas of Asian Water Towers, which is of great significance for the rational planning and utilization of water resources. Through comprehensive analysis, it was revealed that the "Karakoram anomaly" might expand in different degrees to the Western Kunlun Mountains and the Pamirs, while the glaciers in the other parts of the Tibetan Plateau and surroundings were in an accelerated melting state recently. Moreover, we also illuminated the influences of the changes of the glaciers over the past 50 years and in different climate scenarios in the future on the basin water resources and sea level rise, and pointed out that the glacier observation and investigation should be carried out systematically, and a climate-ice-hydrological processes coupling model should be set up, in order to accurately assess the glacier melt water resources, which is an important basis for the green silk road construction.
DOI10.16418/j.issn.1000-3045.2019.11.005
作者简介
王宁练 西北大学教授。1991年和2001年在中国科学院寒区旱区环境与工程研究所分别获得硕士学位和博士学位,2002-2003年在美国俄亥俄州立大学伯德极地与气候研究中心从事博士后研究工作。主要从事冰芯气候环境记录、冰川变化与水资源、冰冻圈与全球变化研究,目前参与中国科学院战略性先导科技专项(A类)"泛第三极环境变化与绿色丝绸之路建设"项目的研究工作。
E-mail:nlwang@nwu.edu.cn
WANG Ninglian Professor at Northwest University.He received his M.S.degree and Ph.D.degree from Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute of Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) in 1991 and 2001,respectively,and did postdoctoral research work at Byrd Polar and Climate Research Center of Ohio State University,USA during 2002-2003.His research interests include climatic and environmental records in ice core,glacier changes and water resources,cryosphere and global change.He is now participating in the research work in the CAS Strategic Priority Research Program of PanThird Pole Environment Study for a Green Silk Road (Pan-TPE).
E-mail:nlwang@nwu.edu.cn
姚檀栋 中国科学院院士,第二次青藏高原综合科学考察研究队队长、中国科学院战略性先导科技专项(A类)"泛第三极环境变化与绿色丝绸之路建设"首席科学家。中国青藏高原研究会理事长、"第三极环境(TPE)"国际计划主席。长期从事青藏高原科学考察研究,在冰川与环境变化研究领域作出了系统性创新贡献。研究发现气候变暖和西风与季风协同作用是青藏高原冰川变化区域差异的主要驱动力;组织撰写的《西藏高原环境变化科学评估》报告为推进青藏高原生态屏障建设提供了重要科学依据;发起的TPE国际计划促进了国际青藏高原研究领域的深度交流。发表论文300多篇,其中重要成果发表在包括Nature、Science、Nature Climate Change、Review of Geophysics、BAMS等国际权威期刊上。2017年因在青藏高原冰川和环境研究方面所作出的贡献荣获维加奖。
E-mail:tdyao@itpcas.ac.cn
YAO Tandong Member of Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS).He is also the Chair of the Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research program (STEP) and Pan-Third Pole Environment study for a Green Silk Road program (Pan-TPE),Chairman of the China Society on Tibetan Plateau (CSTP),Co-chair of Third Pole Environment (TPE) Program.Yao Tandong has been focusing and internationally acknowledged of his study on glacier and environment on the Tibetan Plateau.He has carried out different programs relating to environment in the past 30 years.His research has been published in Nature,Science,Nature Climate Change,Review of Geophysics,BAMS,etc.One of his recent works reveals that,under the impact of global warming,glaciers in the Tibetan Plateau and surrounding regions are retreating rapidly and spatially different because of the interaction between the Indian monsoon and westerlies,with the most rapid retreating in the southeast Tibetan Plateau and the least retreating in the northwest Tibetan Plateau.He has successfully organized many international conferences and workshops,as well as several major national and international research programs.Among them,the TPE program has been internationally influential.He has been awarded the Vega Medal for his pioneering work on the Tibetan Plateau glacier and environment in 2017.
E-mail:tdyao@itpcas.ac.cn
E-mail:nlwang@nwu.edu.cn
WANG Ninglian Professor at Northwest University.He received his M.S.degree and Ph.D.degree from Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute of Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) in 1991 and 2001,respectively,and did postdoctoral research work at Byrd Polar and Climate Research Center of Ohio State University,USA during 2002-2003.His research interests include climatic and environmental records in ice core,glacier changes and water resources,cryosphere and global change.He is now participating in the research work in the CAS Strategic Priority Research Program of PanThird Pole Environment Study for a Green Silk Road (Pan-TPE).
E-mail:nlwang@nwu.edu.cn
姚檀栋 中国科学院院士,第二次青藏高原综合科学考察研究队队长、中国科学院战略性先导科技专项(A类)"泛第三极环境变化与绿色丝绸之路建设"首席科学家。中国青藏高原研究会理事长、"第三极环境(TPE)"国际计划主席。长期从事青藏高原科学考察研究,在冰川与环境变化研究领域作出了系统性创新贡献。研究发现气候变暖和西风与季风协同作用是青藏高原冰川变化区域差异的主要驱动力;组织撰写的《西藏高原环境变化科学评估》报告为推进青藏高原生态屏障建设提供了重要科学依据;发起的TPE国际计划促进了国际青藏高原研究领域的深度交流。发表论文300多篇,其中重要成果发表在包括Nature、Science、Nature Climate Change、Review of Geophysics、BAMS等国际权威期刊上。2017年因在青藏高原冰川和环境研究方面所作出的贡献荣获维加奖。
E-mail:tdyao@itpcas.ac.cn
YAO Tandong Member of Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS).He is also the Chair of the Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research program (STEP) and Pan-Third Pole Environment study for a Green Silk Road program (Pan-TPE),Chairman of the China Society on Tibetan Plateau (CSTP),Co-chair of Third Pole Environment (TPE) Program.Yao Tandong has been focusing and internationally acknowledged of his study on glacier and environment on the Tibetan Plateau.He has carried out different programs relating to environment in the past 30 years.His research has been published in Nature,Science,Nature Climate Change,Review of Geophysics,BAMS,etc.One of his recent works reveals that,under the impact of global warming,glaciers in the Tibetan Plateau and surrounding regions are retreating rapidly and spatially different because of the interaction between the Indian monsoon and westerlies,with the most rapid retreating in the southeast Tibetan Plateau and the least retreating in the northwest Tibetan Plateau.He has successfully organized many international conferences and workshops,as well as several major national and international research programs.Among them,the TPE program has been internationally influential.He has been awarded the Vega Medal for his pioneering work on the Tibetan Plateau glacier and environment in 2017.
E-mail:tdyao@itpcas.ac.cn
