多规模智库DIIS理论方法
Multi-scale Think Tank DIIS Theory and Methodology
Multi-scale Think Tank DIIS Theory and Methodology
作者
潘教峰 杨国梁 刘慧晖
中文关键词
智库，DIIS，多规模，智库研究方法
英文关键词
think tank, DIIS, multi-scale, think tank research method
中文摘要
在推进国家治理体系和治理能力现代化的进程中，智库的重要作用日益突显。智库研究问题由于其综合交叉的特征，表现为不同规模的研究问题，其研究过程在遵循智库DIIS（收集信息—揭示信息—综合研判—形成方案，Data-Information-Intelligence-Solution）理论一般和共性方法的同时，又有各自不同的关键要素与环节。把握这些关键要素与环节，形成不同规模DIIS方法，可以为个人、研究组、研究团队开展智库问题研究提供有效的工具和方法。为此，文章从交叉性、关联性和复杂性角度，深入分析大规模、中规模、小规模智库问题的特征，形成智库问题规模的划分流程；其次，基于DIIS理论，分别提出解决大规模、中规模和小规模智库问题的智库DIIS方法，并剖析三者间的相互关系；最后，针对不同规模的智库问题，给出相应的智库报告DIIS写作规范，以期保证智库研究的规范性与高质量，更好地发挥智库的作用。
英文摘要
In the process of advancing the modernization of the national governance system and governance capacity, the important role of think tanks becomes increasingly prominent. Because of the comprehensive crossover characteristics of think tank research problem, it manifested as different scale research problems. The research process follows the general and common methods of the think-tank Data-Information-Intelligence-Solution (DIIS) theory, and has different key elements and steps. Grasping these key elements and steps and forming different scale DIIS methods can provide effective tools and methods for individuals, research groups and research teams to investigate the think tank research problems. From the perspective of crossing, relevance and complexity, this study analyzes the characteristics of large-scale, medium-scale and small-scale think tank problems, and develops the process of dividing the scale of think tank problems. Secondly, large-scale, medium-scale, and small-scale think tank DIIS methods are proposed based on the DIIS theory, and the relationships of them are investigated. Finally, the DIIS writing specifications of think tanks of different scales are developed in order to ensure the normative and high quality of think tank research and to better play the role of think tank.
作者简介
潘教峰
中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院院长、研究员、博士生导师，国务院研究室-中国科学院共建的中国创新战略和政策研究中心共同主任，中国发展战略学研究会理事长，中国科学技术法学会副会长，中国科技成果管理研究会副理事长，世界创新组织会士。主要从事科技战略规划、创新政策和智库理论方法研究。“百千万人才工程”国家级人选，被授予国家“有突出贡献中青年专家”荣誉称号。曾任中国科学院副秘书长、规划战略局局长、发展规划局局长、党组办公室主任、办公厅副主任，中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所所长等。参加国家科技规划、新兴产业规划的战略研究和编制，以及科技体制改革研究、政策法规制订和文件起草。主持了创新驱动发展战略顶层设计等数十项决策咨询重大课题研究、国家有关创新政策第三方评估工作。具体组织了“中国至2050年重要领域科技发展路线图”战略研究和《创新2050：科学技术与中国的未来》系列报告出版，《科技发展新态势与面向2020年的战略选择》的研究与出版等。参加中国科学院知识创新工程、“创新2020”、“率先行动计划”等规划和重大改革举措的研究制定和实施。
E-mail: jfpan@casisd.cn
PAN Jiaofeng
Professor, President of the Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences (CASISD), Co-director of China Innovation Strategy and Policy Research Center funded by Research Office of the State Council and CAS, Chairman of the Chinese Association of Development Strategy Studies, Vice President of China Law Association on Science and Technology, Vice Chairman of China Association of Scientific and Technological Achievements Management, and the Fellow of World Innovation Organization. He is one of the National Talents of “Hundred, Thousand and Ten Thousand Talents Project” and was awarded the honorary title of “Young and Middle-aged Experts with Outstanding Contributions”. He also served as Deputy Secretary General of CAS, Director General of Bureau of Planning and Strategy, CAS, Director General of Bureau of Development and Planning, CAS, Deputy Director General of General Office, CAS, and Director of Institute of Policy and Management, CAS. His research focuses on S&T strategic planning, innovation policy, think-tank theory and method research. He participated in the research and drafting of national S&T planning and emerging industry planning, as well as the research and relevant documents drafting of national S&T system reform. He has presided dozens of major decision-making advising research projects including top-level design of innovation-driven development strategy and third-party assessment of relevant national innovation policies. He has organized the serial strategic research: “China’s S&T Roadmaps to 2050” (“Innovation 2050” for short), with serial reports have been published successively. As the general research team leader, he has organized and published Vision 2020: The Emerging Trends in S&T and Strategic Option of China. He has involved in the work of strategic research, as well as formulating and implementing the major reform measures of CAS such as “Knowledge Innovation Program”, “Innovation 2020”, and “Pioneer Initiatives”.
E-mail: jfpan@casisd.cn
中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院院长、研究员、博士生导师，国务院研究室-中国科学院共建的中国创新战略和政策研究中心共同主任，中国发展战略学研究会理事长，中国科学技术法学会副会长，中国科技成果管理研究会副理事长，世界创新组织会士。主要从事科技战略规划、创新政策和智库理论方法研究。“百千万人才工程”国家级人选，被授予国家“有突出贡献中青年专家”荣誉称号。曾任中国科学院副秘书长、规划战略局局长、发展规划局局长、党组办公室主任、办公厅副主任，中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所所长等。参加国家科技规划、新兴产业规划的战略研究和编制，以及科技体制改革研究、政策法规制订和文件起草。主持了创新驱动发展战略顶层设计等数十项决策咨询重大课题研究、国家有关创新政策第三方评估工作。具体组织了“中国至2050年重要领域科技发展路线图”战略研究和《创新2050：科学技术与中国的未来》系列报告出版，《科技发展新态势与面向2020年的战略选择》的研究与出版等。参加中国科学院知识创新工程、“创新2020”、“率先行动计划”等规划和重大改革举措的研究制定和实施。
E-mail: jfpan@casisd.cn
PAN Jiaofeng
Professor, President of the Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences (CASISD), Co-director of China Innovation Strategy and Policy Research Center funded by Research Office of the State Council and CAS, Chairman of the Chinese Association of Development Strategy Studies, Vice President of China Law Association on Science and Technology, Vice Chairman of China Association of Scientific and Technological Achievements Management, and the Fellow of World Innovation Organization. He is one of the National Talents of “Hundred, Thousand and Ten Thousand Talents Project” and was awarded the honorary title of “Young and Middle-aged Experts with Outstanding Contributions”. He also served as Deputy Secretary General of CAS, Director General of Bureau of Planning and Strategy, CAS, Director General of Bureau of Development and Planning, CAS, Deputy Director General of General Office, CAS, and Director of Institute of Policy and Management, CAS. His research focuses on S&T strategic planning, innovation policy, think-tank theory and method research. He participated in the research and drafting of national S&T planning and emerging industry planning, as well as the research and relevant documents drafting of national S&T system reform. He has presided dozens of major decision-making advising research projects including top-level design of innovation-driven development strategy and third-party assessment of relevant national innovation policies. He has organized the serial strategic research: “China’s S&T Roadmaps to 2050” (“Innovation 2050” for short), with serial reports have been published successively. As the general research team leader, he has organized and published Vision 2020: The Emerging Trends in S&T and Strategic Option of China. He has involved in the work of strategic research, as well as formulating and implementing the major reform measures of CAS such as “Knowledge Innovation Program”, “Innovation 2020”, and “Pioneer Initiatives”.
E-mail: jfpan@casisd.cn
